Almancilense vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 2
COV
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 0
ALM
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
PIN
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 2
FCC
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
LOU
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COV
0 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
JUV
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
ATL
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |