Almagro CF vs UD Carrión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
ALM
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 0
ALM
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
UBC
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
ALM
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 2
ALM
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
UDC
0 - 1
MOR
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UDC
1 - 1
ATT
39%
23%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
YUN
0 - 0
UDC
32%
25%
44%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UDC
2 - 1
CIU
30%
26%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UDC
1 - 4
PED
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |