Almagro CF vs UD Carrión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
ALM
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 2
CDS
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOM
5 - 2
ALM
52%
25%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
CDM
65%
19%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 0
ALM
53%
24%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UDC
1 - 5
DAI
19%
22%
60%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
UDC
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 0
UDC
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
UDC
0 - 1
CDS
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TOM
4 - 1
UDC
66%
20%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |