Almagro CF vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
VRU
2 - 1
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 0
MAR
43%
25%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CDC
2 - 1
ALM
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
ALM
41%
26%
33%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
MIG
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UBC
3 - 2
MOR
71%
17%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 3
UBC
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
UBC
1 - 0
QRE
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PED
0 - 2
UBC
13%
20%
66%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 4
UBC
18%
22%
61%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |