Almagro CF vs Motilla Cf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almagro CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
DAI
1 - 0
ALM
45%
26%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
MUN
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALM
16%
23%
62%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
CDB
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LSO
1 - 1
ALM
49%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Motilla Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MOT
0 - 1
MIG
72%
17%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDE
4 - 0
MOT
53%
22%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MOT
4 - 1
DBA
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TER
1 - 2
MOT
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MOT
0 - 0
PED
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |