Almada vs Monte Caparica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
OGR
2 - 3
ALM
74%
15%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 1
ARR
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CHC
1 - 1
ALM
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 4
AMO
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SES
1 - 1
ALM
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 3
ALF
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 3
OGR
51%
22%
26%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
MCA
17%
20%
62%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MCA
1 - 1
CHC
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AMO
1 - 1
MCA
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |