Alloa Athletic vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALL
0 - 2
STE
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 3
ALL
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ALL
2 - 3
ARB
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 3
ALL
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 1
EAS
53%
23%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 1
STR
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
STR
2 - 0
AYR
45%
22%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STR
1 - 1
STE
39%
24%
36%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
STR
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
STR
1 - 1
ARB
35%
23%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |