Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ALL
2 - 0
MON
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
STR
0 - 4
ALL
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ALL
1 - 0
BLA
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
THE
1 - 3
ALL
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
ALL
3 - 0
ELG
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PET
2 - 1
QUE
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CLY
0 - 1
PET
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PET
1 - 0
THE
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PET
0 - 3
CEL
11%
18%
71%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
PET
3 - 0
ELG
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |