Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 2
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 0
ALL
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 3
EAS
50%
23%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
4 - 0
ALL
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AIR
0 - 2
ALL
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
PET
2 - 2
STE
53%
22%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PET
1 - 2
AYR
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PET
1 - 1
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 1
PET
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
STE
4 - 2
PET
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |