Alloa Athletic vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
ALL
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
ALL
1 - 1
ARB
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ROS
2 - 0
ALL
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
ALL
2 - 0
STI
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ALL
4 - 3
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
HIB
6 - 1
ARB
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
ROS
0 - 0
HIB
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
HIB
4 - 0
MON
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
BER
0 - 2
HIB
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
HIB
2 - 2
SUN
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |