Alloa Athletic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
HOM
3 - 0
ALL
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
QOS
2 - 0
ALL
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ALL
4 - 2
STE
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
ALL
3 - 3
DUN
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ALL
1 - 4
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
HOM
3 - 0
ALL
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 1
HOM
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 3
HOM
15%
21%
64%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
HOM
2 - 1
ICT
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HOM
2 - 1
HIB
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |