Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
47.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
STM
1 - 1
ALL
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
ROS
1 - 2
ALL
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
CWB
2 - 3
ALL
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
ALL
3 - 3
QOS
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
STJ
3 - 0
ALL
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
FAL
3 - 1
STM
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
ICT
3 - 4
FAL
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
FAL
1 - 1
STJ
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
FAL
4 - 0
HOM
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
ARB
1 - 4
FAL
24%
24%
51%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |