Alloa Athletic vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
ALL
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
ALL
2 - 1
EDI
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 1
ALL
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
AIR
0 - 2
ALL
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
ALL
3 - 1
STR
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 1
ICT
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
KIL
0 - 3
DUN
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
FAL
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
DUM
0 - 1
DUN
25%
24%
52%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |