Alloa Athletic vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
QOS
1 - 2
ALL
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALL
0 - 2
PAR
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ALL
1 - 2
FAL
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ALL
1 - 3
AYR
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ROS
2 - 0
ALL
63%
21%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
QOS
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 0
PAR
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
AYR
0 - 1
DUN
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
ICT
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 2
ROS
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |