Alloa Athletic vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 3
BRE
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 2
ALL
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALL
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALL
4 - 1
ALB
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 1
ALL
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
DUN
6 - 1
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
DUN
39%
23%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 2
AIR
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 3
DUN
67%
21%
13%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
CWB
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |