Alloa Athletic vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
ALL
1 - 2
RAI
34%
22%
44%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
HAM
9 - 0
ALL
82%
11%
7%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
DUN
1 - 0
ALL
76%
14%
10%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1947 |
RAI
4 - 2
ALL
79%
13%
9%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1947 |
ALL
1 - 2
HAM
39%
22%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
DUN
1 - 3
HAM
51%
20%
29%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
RAI
6 - 1
DUN
69%
15%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
DUN
1 - 0
ALL
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1947 |
HAM
3 - 2
DUN
70%
15%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1947 |
DUN
0 - 2
RAI
62%
18%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |