Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EAS
0 - 3
ALL
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 0
PET
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 1
ALL
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 2
AIR
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 2
COV
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 0
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 2
FAL
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 0
DUM
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 3
QUE
23%
27%
51%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PET
4 - 3
DUM
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |