Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
ALL
3 - 2
GLA
13%
21%
67%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ALL
1 - 2
HIB
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ALL
2 - 3
FAL
37%
26%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GLA
1 - 1
ALL
86%
11%
4%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
ALL
4 - 0
AYR
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
DUM
3 - 6
HIB
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 2
DUM
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
QOS
3 - 0
DUM
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DUM
0 - 1
GLA
21%
22%
57%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DUM
0 - 3
GLA
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |