Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
ALL
1 - 1
ROS
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
QUE
1 - 1
ALL
34%
28%
39%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
ROS
0 - 2
ALL
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
ALL
3 - 1
ALB
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
ARB
3 - 0
ALL
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
DUM
1 - 0
THE
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
ROS
0 - 0
DUM
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
DUM
1 - 2
ARB
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
QUE
0 - 2
DUM
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ALB
2 - 2
DUM
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |