Alloa Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
CWB
0 - 3
ALL
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
ALL
0 - 2
THE
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
ALL
3 - 4
QUE
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
ROS
2 - 4
ALL
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
ALL
3 - 0
ARB
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
MON
2 - 2
DUM
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
DUM
1 - 4
BER
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
DUM
2 - 2
ROS
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
THE
3 - 1
DUM
61%
21%
17%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
DUM
0 - 0
QUE
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |