Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
7º
6º
64
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STE
0 - 1
ALL
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 0
ARB
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 2
COV
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
ALL
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 0
KHE
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUM
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 0
ARB
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 0
ICT
23%
26%
52%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
COV
2 - 4
ARB
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 0
BLA
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |