Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ALL
2 - 3
STI
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
STI
0 - 0
ALL
56%
22%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
STR
1 - 3
ALL
33%
25%
43%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ALL
0 - 1
EAS
41%
25%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
QUE
1 - 2
ALL
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
PET
1 - 0
ARB
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 0
BRE
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
STI
1 - 1
ARB
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARB
3 - 0
QUE
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
STR
1 - 5
ARB
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |