Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 1
ALL
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
QUE
1 - 0
ALL
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ALL
0 - 3
EAS
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
STI
3 - 2
ALL
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ALL
5 - 1
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ARB
0 - 2
RAI
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
STR
2 - 2
ARB
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 1
QUE
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 1
ARB
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 2
STI
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |