Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
BRE
0 - 1
ALL
51%
26%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
ALL
3 - 2
ALB
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
HOM
3 - 0
ALL
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
CWB
1 - 0
ALL
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
ALL
2 - 1
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
ROS
4 - 2
ARB
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
ARB
1 - 3
LIV
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
RAI
2 - 1
ARB
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
ALB
0 - 2
ARB
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
ROS
0 - 2
ARB
67%
17%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |