Allerød vs Herlev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
7º
7º
19
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Allerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
VB1
0 - 3
ALL
23%
21%
56%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 1
SKJ
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
0 - 1
ALL
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
3 - 1
KFU
58%
22%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
ALL
6 - 0
B19
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
FRE
23%
21%
57%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HER
3 - 4
SBO
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VB1
2 - 0
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
VAN
16%
22%
62%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
HER
3 - 2
KFU
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |