Allerød vs Herlev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
69.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Allerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
GVI
3 - 2
ALL
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
6 - 0
ALL
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALL
0 - 3
FRE
17%
20%
64%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KAS
1 - 1
ALL
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ALL
0 - 2
SKJ
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
AVE
55%
22%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
HER
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
KAS
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SKJ
1 - 0
HER
23%
23%
55%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
FA2
78%
13%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |