Allerheiligen vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Allerheiligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 0
LBN
20%
24%
57%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 2
ALL
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
VEI
1 - 1
ALL
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 1
WEI
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
VOI
3 - 0
ALL
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
SEE
1 - 5
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
TSV
1 - 1
HAR
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
KUF
2 - 2
HAR
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
HAR
4 - 3
SPG
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SWB
2 - 1
HAR
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |