Alki vs ASIL Lysi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
AYI
0 - 2
ALK
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ALK
2 - 1
OLY
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ALK
1 - 1
PAE
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ALK
1 - 1
APE
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
PAF
3 - 4
ALK
58%
22%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ASIL Lysi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ASI
1 - 0
ONI
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
OTH
1 - 1
ASI
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ASI
0 - 1
OMO
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ASI
2 - 0
HAL
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AYI
1 - 1
ASI
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |