Alki vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
APO
5 - 1
ALK
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
NEA
8 - 1
ALK
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ALK
1 - 5
ENO
26%
23%
52%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
AEK
1 - 0
ALK
81%
12%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
ALK
1 - 7
ARI
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
APO
1 - 0
OLY
50%
24%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
OLY
3 - 3
APO
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
APO
5 - 1
DOX
80%
14%
7%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
AEL
2 - 0
APO
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
APO
4 - 2
AEK
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |