Alki Oroklini vs Ermis Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
14º
16º
15º
20
7º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alki Oroklini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
ETH
3 - 0
ALK
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 0
PEY
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OTH
1 - 0
ALK
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 0
AEZ
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
XYL
4 - 3
ALK
43%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ERM
1 - 0
OLY
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 0
ERM
37%
25%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ERM
1 - 1
OMM
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DYP
2 - 2
ERM
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ERM
0 - 1
ACH
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |