Alki Oroklini vs Ayia Napa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
7º
8º
7º
17
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 23 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 22 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 21 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 20 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
|
8º
|
0 | 12 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 11 |
8º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alki Oroklini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALK
1 - 8
DYP
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
ERM
2 - 0
ALK
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ALK
1 - 3
DYP
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ACH
8 - 1
ALK
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALK
1 - 3
ERM
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ayia Napa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AYI
0 - 1
ANA
51%
24%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 1
AYI
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
XYL
3 - 2
AYI
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AYI
1 - 2
ETH
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
PEY
2 - 1
AYI
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |