Aljustrelense vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.6%
72.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 0
ALJ
80%
13%
6%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PIN
3 - 1
ALJ
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALJ
0 - 3
LGC
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ALJ
0 - 2
OLH
10%
16%
74%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
EDL
3 - 0
ALJ
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
VST
2 - 2
LOU
77%
17%
6%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
LGC
1 - 2
VST
12%
21%
67%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
AMO
1 - 2
VST
11%
22%
67%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VST
4 - 0
JUV
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 25 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
OLH
2 - 3
VST
12%
23%
66%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | +1 |