Aljustrelense vs União Montemor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
54.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 0
ALJ
83%
13%
4%
|
23 | 71 | 48 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALJ
0 - 1
MES
38%
24%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RED
3 - 1
ALJ
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALJ
1 - 1
LAG
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FAB
2 - 0
ALJ
84%
13%
4%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | +1 |
Matches
União Montemor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
SES
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DES
0 - 3
UNI
11%
19%
70%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
LAG
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
QUA
1 - 0
UNI
45%
24%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
PES
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |