Aljustrelense vs Monte Trigo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALJ
0 - 1
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 1
ALJ
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALJ
1 - 0
LUS
14%
22%
64%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SES
2 - 1
ALJ
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALJ
0 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Trigo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
ATL
22%
23%
54%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MON
4 - 0
LAG
29%
25%
47%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
7 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |