Aljustrelense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
QUA
2 - 0
ALJ
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ALJ
0 - 3
ANG
22%
23%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 0
ALJ
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ALJ
0 - 1
AVE
12%
20%
68%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALJ
3 - 1
INO
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 1
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
QUA
1 - 0
LUS
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 0
LUS
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
EST
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |