Aljustrelense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
64.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SES
2 - 1
ALJ
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALJ
0 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ALJ
0 - 0
UNI
37%
25%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 0
ALJ
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALJ
0 - 1
ATL
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 1
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
LUS
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 2
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
LUS
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 6
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |