Aljustrelense vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AMO
5 - 0
ALJ
82%
12%
5%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ALJ
1 - 2
PIN
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LGC
0 - 0
ALJ
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
ALJ
0 - 1
AMO
15%
22%
64%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
OLH
2 - 0
ALJ
85%
11%
5%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MOU
1 - 2
LOU
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PIN
1 - 1
LOU
27%
26%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
AMO
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
EDL
1 - 2
LOU
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |