Aljustrelense vs Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
ALJ
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALJ
1 - 0
SES
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DES
0 - 1
ALJ
10%
18%
73%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ALJ
2 - 0
LAG
26%
24%
51%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
QUA
2 - 0
ALJ
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 5
TON
12%
20%
69%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 1
LAG
34%
25%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAG
6 - 1
DES
81%
14%
6%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 2
LAG
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 0
QUA
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |