Aljustrelense vs Ferreiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
ALJ
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 1
PRA
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 1
ALJ
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 3
ALJ
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +3 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALJ
0 - 2
OPE
17%
23%
61%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
ALJ
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OPE
3 - 0
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
LUS
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
QUA
0 - 0
FER
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
ANG
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |