Aljustrelense vs Ferreiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PRA
1 - 0
ALJ
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALJ
0 - 3
LOU
26%
25%
50%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALJ
1 - 1
MOU
20%
25%
56%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OPE
4 - 2
ALJ
70%
19%
11%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALJ
0 - 3
AVE
12%
20%
69%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
OPE
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
FER
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
QUA
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 2
FER
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |