Aljustrelense vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
66.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SES
2 - 3
ALJ
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ALJ
2 - 0
DES
82%
13%
6%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 2
ALJ
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALJ
0 - 1
QUA
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PES
3 - 2
ALJ
61%
21%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
FAB
11%
22%
67%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FAB
1 - 0
SES
83%
13%
5%
|
69 | 25 | 44 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FAB
0 - 3
FAR
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DES
1 - 4
FAB
12%
21%
67%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FAB
1 - 0
MES
84%
13%
4%
|
70 | 29 | 41 | 0 |