Aljaraque CD vs Lepe PMD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljaraque CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PLU
2 - 2
ALJ
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALJ
2 - 1
PUM
49%
23%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SBA
2 - 0
ALJ
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALJ
5 - 1
VIL
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JUA
2 - 1
ALJ
71%
17%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lepe PMD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LPE
1 - 0
ROC
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAZ
2 - 1
LPE
39%
22%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LPE
1 - 3
OCF
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LPE
4 - 0
CDH
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PLU
2 - 1
LPE
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |