Aljaraque CD vs C.D. Mosquito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljaraque CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ALJ
1 - 0
VAL
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
POZ
2 - 2
ALJ
18%
22%
61%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALJ
1 - 1
JUA
68%
19%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VLZ
1 - 0
ALJ
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 4
ALJ
10%
19%
71%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
C.D. Mosquito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CDM
0 - 2
MON
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COR
2 - 2
CDM
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GIL
4 - 1
CDM
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CDM
4 - 1
VLZ
13%
18%
69%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LAR
2 - 0
CDM
67%
19%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |