Alice Springs Celtic vs Shamrock Rovers Darwin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
56.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alice Springs Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 0
SCO
29%
21%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
ASC
5 - 2
STO
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
GIL
1 - 0
ASC
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
DAR
5 - 0
ASC
54%
22%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers Darwin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2017 |
HAC
0 - 1
SRD
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
SRD
0 - 6
BRI
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
SRD
5 - 0
GIL
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
DAR
4 - 4
SRD
44%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |