Alicante vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
22.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
CAA
2 - 0
ALI
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
ALI
3 - 1
CAR
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
IMP
3 - 0
ALI
72%
15%
14%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
ALI
3 - 0
ORI
78%
12%
10%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALI
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
RJA
5 - 0
ALB
59%
19%
23%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
GAB
2 - 0
RJA
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
RJA
4 - 0
CIE
88%
8%
5%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
RJA
2 - 1
ILI
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
CRE
1 - 1
RJA
39%
23%
39%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |