CFI Alicante B vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CFI Alicante B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
DEN
2 - 1
ALI
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 0
ACE
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
OND
2 - 3
ALI
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PEG
1 - 1
ELD
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ONT
1 - 1
PEG
57%
25%
19%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 1
UDP
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
PEG
3 - 0
ELC
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 1
PEG
71%
20%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |