Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
AGU
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
PAS
3 - 0
ALI
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UES
1 - 3
ALI
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
FAS
0 - 0
MET
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UES
0 - 0
FAS
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
FAS
1 - 1
SFC
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
CDD
2 - 2
FAS
34%
29%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FAS
1 - 1
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |