Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VIS
1 - 1
ALI
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 3
FIR
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
ALI
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
ONC
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FAS
2 - 2
FIR
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
FAS
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
FAS
2 - 1
ONC
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
FAS
36%
26%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FAS
4 - 1
UES
53%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |