Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 0
FIR
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
VIS
0 - 0
ALI
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MET
0 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FIR
0 - 1
ALI
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 2
FIR
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FAS
1 - 1
VIS
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MET
2 - 4
FAS
70%
18%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ONC
2 - 3
FAS
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 1
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FAS
2 - 2
UES
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |