Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
ONC
2 - 0
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ALI
2 - 1
FIR
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 1
FIR
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
ALI
37%
28%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 1
SAL
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
FIR
3 - 1
FAS
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
FAS
1 - 1
SAL
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
FAS
1 - 0
VIS
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
MET
2 - 0
FAS
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
IND
0 - 2
FAS
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |